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What percentage do you expect to hit each season?

I am asked this question time and time again and the answer isn't nearly as simple as most people seem to think or want to hear. Each season is different for each sport, and I cannot make any guarantees about any individual season. One year I may hit a combined 52% for college, pro and Canadian football but hit 65% on halftime wagers. The next year I may hit a combined 63% for all of the above, but only go 50% on my halftime bets. In 2001 I hit 58% in both college and NFL but in 2002 I hit 63% in the NFL but below 50% in college.

However, over the LONG-TERM, I expect to hit between 55-60% against a standard -110 line, and have proven to do so.

Hockey, and other sports that are not based on a standard -110 line, are completely different stories. Although I do win more than 50% of my wagers in the NHL, winning percentage in these sports is virtually meaningless. If I were hitting 60% winners, playing -200 favorites I would be losing alot of money. Conversely by hitting 50% winners playing games that are on average +120 I would be making a very respectable profit.


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